Neil Ferguson puts his faith in the herd – The Times

He is one of the world’s most influential disease modellers, whose warnings led to the UK’s first lockdown. Professor Neil Ferguson, more than any other scientist, bore the brunt of criticism from those sceptical about the shutdown.

Nine months on, amid a surge in infections, a variant wreaking havoc and hospitals filled with victims, we are back in lockdown for a third time in 300 days. Yet the government’s former top epidemiology adviser is optimistic about 2021.

“I think we will see growth rates slow,” Ferguson said. “We may see a decline, and that may be slightly aided by the fact that there is quite a lot of herd immunity in places like London.

“Maybe 25% or 30% of the population has now been infected