Seven weeks in to the nationwide lockdown coronavirus rates are starting to creep up in several areas in Birmingham, the Black Country, South Staffordshire and Worcestershire.

The Government warned that rates are rising in one in five local authority areas across the country with deputy chief medical officer, Professor Jonathan Van-Tam issuing a warning : “Do not wreck this, we are so close,” speaking at Friday’s Downing Street briefing.

While the broad authority areas in Birmingham, Dudley, Sandwell, Walsall, Wolverhampton, Worcestershire and South Staffordshire show rates are falling overall, there are pockets within each area where rates are rising. Solihull did not have any areas at 200 cases or more per 100,000 people where rates were rising.

Coronavirus rates are starting to creep up again in a number of neighbourhoods in the West Midlands

Coronavirus rates are starting to creep up again in a number of neighbourhoods in the West Midlands

In the West Midlands there are 66 neighbourhoods where case rates are above 200 cases per 100,000 and have been rising in the past week. Of those 17 are in Birmingham, 17 in Worcestershire, across its six districts, 10 in Dudley, nine in Walsall, six in Wolverhampton, six in Sandwell and ine in South Staffordshire.

The current UK rate is 114 cases per 100,000 people and in England the rate is 117 per 100k according to the Government’s coronavirus dashboard.

Public Health England breaks down rates by smaller MSOA areas – Middle layer Super Output Areas, the most detailed data available.

The figures are based on tests carried out in Public Health England laboratories and NHS hospitals (pillar one – for those with a clinical need and health and social care workers. And swab tests in the wider community (pillar two processed in other labs). They show the number of positive Covid-19 cases scaled to represent the number of cases per 100,000 people.

In our region there are five ‘red’ hotspot areas on Public Health England’s interactive coronavirus map, showing case rates for the seven days to February 21. These are areas were positive Covid case rates exceed 400 cases per 100,000 people.

Summerfield in Birmingham had the highest rate in the region with 955.8 positive Covid-19 cases per 100,000 people, with 102 cases and a big jump of 59 extra cases compared to the previous week. Some of this is to do with a recent outbreak at HMP Birmingham.

Other red hotspot areas were West Bromwich East & Kenrick Park in Sandwell with 476.7 cases per 100k, Lifford & Walkers Heath in Birmingham with 462.9 cases per 100k, Amblecote West & Stambermill in Dudley with 427.4 cases per 100k. And Ocker Hill in Sandwell with 404.1 cases per 100,000 people.

There were 61 areas across the seven West Midlands authority areas where case rates are dark blue, meaning they are between 200 cases per 100,000 people and 399 cases per 100k, and where rates are increasing.

66 neighbourhoods in the West Midlands with high and rising coronavirus rates in week to February 21

900+

1. Summerfield ( Birmingham ) – 955.8 cases per 100,000 – 102 cases, up 59 from week to February 14, +137.2 per cent rise;

400+

2. West Bromwich East & Kenrick Park ( Sandwell ) – 476.7 per 100k – 42 cases, up 19, + 82.6 per cent;

3. Lifford & Walkers Heath ( Birmingham ) – 462.9 – 28 cases, up 7, + 33.3 per cent;

4. Amblecote & Stambermill ( Dudley ) – 427.4 – 28 cases, up 11, +64.7 per cent;

5. Ocker Hill ( Sandwell ) – 404.1 – 23 cases, up 5, + 27.8 per cent;

300+

6. Malvern Link ( Malvern Hills ) – 388.3 – 25 cases, up 12, +92.3 per cent;

7. Arrow Valley & Ipsley ( Redditch ) – 384.4 – 23 cases, up 7, +43.8 per cent;

8. Honeybourne & Littleton ( Wychavon ) – 381.7 – 23 cases, up 12, +109.1 per cent;

9. Stones Cross & Hateley Heath ( Sandwell ) – 380.4 – 44 cases, up 21, +91.3 per cent;

10. Smethwick South ( Sandwell ) – 377 – 37 cases, up 11, +42.3 per cent;

11. Evesham Central ( Wychavon ) – 358.5 – 24 cases, up 5, + 35.7 per cent;

12. Oakenshaw ( Redditch ) – 356.6 – 20 cases, up 12, + 150 per cent;

13. Church Hill South ( Redditch ) – 350.9 – 19 cases, up 14, +280 per cent;

14. Greenlands ( Redditch ) – 345.3 – 23 cases, up 11, +91.7 per cent;

15. Wood Green & Old Park ( Sandwell ) – 343.6 – 30 cases, up 7, + 30.7 per cent;

16. Handsworth South ( Birmingham ) – 317.9 – 37 cases, up 5, +15.6 per cent;

17. Pelsall North ( Walsall ) – 317.2 , 17 cases, up 2, +13.3 per cent;

18. Walsall Central ( Walsall ) – 316.5 – 35 cases, up4, +12.9 per cent;

19. Bilston North East ( Wolverhampton ) – 308.9 – 23 cases, up 5, +27.8 per cent;

20. Halesowen East ( Dudley ) – 304 , 19 cases, up 1, + 5.6 per cent;

21. Blakenhall ( Wolverhampton ) – 300.5 – 44 cases, up 19, +76 per cent;

250+

22. Walsall Wood ( Walsall ) – 298.5 – 19 cases, up 12, +171.4 per cent;

23. Redditch Town & Abbeydale ( Redditch ) – 291.4 – 21 cases, up , _16.7 per cent;

24. Birches Green ( Birmingham ) – 296.8 – 23 cases, up 9, +64.3 per cent;

25. Yardley South ( Birmingham ) – 296.8 – 18 cases, up 10, +125 per cent;

26. Ward End & Bromford West ( Birmingham ) – 290.4 , 37 cases, up 12, + 48 per cent;

27. Lower Gornal & The Straits ( Dudley ) – 288.4 – 26 cases, up 5, +23.8 per cent;

28. Broadheath, Sinton & Alfrick ( Malvern Hills ) – 271.8 – 20 cases, up 9, +81.8 per cent;

29. Short Heath West ( Walsall ) – 271.3 – 16 cases, up 3, +23.1 per cent;

30. Low Hill ( Wolverhampton ) – 268.6 – 17 cases, up 2, +13.3 per cent;

31. Moseley ( Birmingham ) – 266.8 – 18 cases, up 14, +350 per cent;

32. West Coseley ( Dudley ) – 263.9 – 24 cases, up 9, +60 per cent;

33. Dudley Wood & Saltwells ( Dudley ) – 261.7 – 21 cases, up 4, +23.5 per cent;

34. Sheldon South ( Birmingham ) – 259.3 – 26 cases, up 1, +4 per cent;

35. West Park ( Wolverhampton ) – 257.2 – 21 cases, up 7, + 50 per cent;

36. Walsall West ( Walsall ) – 254.2 – 21 cases, up 3, +16.9 per cent;

37. Upper Witton ( Birmingham ) – 251.6 – 18 cases, up 7, +63.6 per cent;

200+

38. Willenhall Park ( Walsall ) – 244.1 – 22 cases, up 2, +10 per cent;

39. Aldridge South ( Walsall ) – 242.4 – 19 cases, up 11, +137.5 per cent;

40. West Bromwich North ( Sandwell ) – 240.9 – 27 cases, up 1, + 3.8 per cent;

41. Halesowen Town ( Dudley ) – 240.1 – 23 cases, up 3, +15 per cent;

42. Weoley Castle ( Birmingham ) – 239.2 – 19 cases, up 1, + 5.6 per cent;

43. Warndon West ( Worcester ) – 236.5 – 13 cases, up 4, + 44.4 per cent;

44. Stourbridge Town & Old Quarter ( Dudley ) – 234.6 – 19 cases, up 6, + 46.2 per cent;

45. Aston Park ( Birmingham ) – 234.5 – 19 cases, up , +1.8 per cent;

46. Kates Hill ( Dudley ) – 230.9 – 16 cases, up 4, + 33.3 per cent;

47. Netherton ( Dudley ) – 229.5 – 20 cases, up8, +66.7 per cent;

48. Hall Green Central ( Birmingham ) – 229.6 – 16 cases, up 12, +300 per cent;

49. Hall Green East ( Birmingham ) – 227.3 – 15 cases, up 4, +36.4 per cent;

50. Wednesfield Town ( Wolverhampton ) – 226.6 – 17 cases, up 3, _ 21,4 per cent;

51. Bartley Green & Shenley Fields ( Birmingham ) – 224.2 – 17 cases, up 8, +88.9 per cent;

52. Attwood Green & Park Central ( Birmingham ) – 224.1 – 22 cases, up 5, +29.4 per cent;

53. Wythall & Gay Hill ( Bromsgrove ) – 223.6 – 14 cases, up 10, +250 per cent;

54. Stourport Areley Kings ( Wyre Forest ) – 222 – 13 cases, up 7, + 116.7 per cent;

55. Wood End ( Wolverhampton ) – 221 – 18 cases, up 3, + 20 per cent;

56. Evesham East ( Wychavon ) – 218.2 – 19 cases, up 5, +35.7 per cent;

57. Upper Gornal & Ruiton ( Dudley ) – 215.8 – 14 cases, up 4, + 40 per cent;

58. Ashmore ( Walsall ) – 214.2 – 13 cases, up4, +44.4 per cent;

59. Stourport Lickhill & Burlish ( Wyre Forest ) – 213.9 – 15 cases, up 10, + 200 per cent;

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60. Ronkswood & Nunnery Wood ( Worcester ) – 213.7 – 14 cases, up 2, +16.7 per cent;

61. The Delves ( Walsall ) – 211.3 – 14 cases, up 3, + 27.3 per cent;

62. Alvechurch, Hopwood & Holt End ( Bromsgrove ) – 210.8 – 15 cases, up , +15.4 per cent;

63. Bilbrook ( South Staffordshire ) – 209.7 – 12 cases, up 3, +33.3 per cent;

64. Droitwich Spa West & North ( Wychavon ) – 208.4 – 11 cases, up 9,+ 450 per cent;

65. Gravelly Hill & South Erdington ( Birmingham ) – 202.4 – 29 cases, up 12, +70.6 per cent;

66. Quinton East ( Birmingham ) – 200.5 – 17 cases, up 4, +30.8 per cent.

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